Presidential Election 2008

Popular Vote Obama-51.39% McCain-46.39% (Gap of 7,014,000 votes) Electoral Vote Obama-364 McCain-174 Highlights Barack Obama is well on his way to the Oval Office after a terrific week for him at the debate and on the Sunday morning talkshow circuit. Obama's numbers continue to rise, and for the first time ever he leads John McCain by 5% of the popular vote--a record 7 million popular vote lead. His electoral college lead remains steady at 364-174. What to Watch For John McCain's numbers in Ohio have been steadily increasing since the last debate--likely a byproduct of his obsession with "Joe the Plumber." Left-wingers have been ... Read Full Story

Popular Vote Obama-50.67% McCain-47.06% (Gap of 5,046,000 votes) Electoral Vote Obama-364 McCain-174 Highlights You'll notice that both candidates' numbers have gone down (Obama -.03, McCain -.88) from the last poll. This is because we finally have some fairly decent data on the performance of third party candidates --notably Bob Barr , Ralph Nader , and Cynthia McKinney . Third party candidates take up 2.27% of the voting population in our current projection--or just over 3.1 million votes. John McCain is in a free-fall. Losing nearly one full point in our projection over the course of 4 days is a horrible sign for him and ... Read Full Story

Popular Vote Obama-52.11% McCain-45.70% (Gap of 9,255,000 votes) Electoral Vote Obama-375 McCain-163 Highlights The gap between Barack Obama and John McCain continues to grow dramatically today, as the Democrat increased his popular vote lead over the embattled Republican by 1.4% in just four days. The total popular vote gap now amazingly stands at over 9 million votes, suggesting that Barack Obama may be in for a landslide victory in 11 days. This week, we welcome the state of Indiana to the Obama column. Our projections now show Obama with a 4-point lead in that state. This increases his electoral vote lead, with the tally ... Read Full Story

Popular Vote Obama-52.05% McCain-45.84% (Gap of 8,980,000 votes) Electoral Vote Obama-364 McCain-174 Highlights Well, for the first time in nearly 2 months, John McCain officially gained ground on Barack Obama in today's projection. McCain gained about 600,000 votes--approximately .2%--on Obama's lead. Also, with Indiana hopping back into the red column (and Missouri hanging precariously close to the edge), Obama's electoral lead shrank to 190 votes. Notably for McCain are, as aforementioned: Indiana (M +2), Missouri (O +1), Florida (O +1), and West Virginia (M +7). The GOP is hoping for a miracle in Pennsylvania, dumping large amounts of resources in the rural parts of ... Read Full Story

Popular Vote Obama-50.14 McCain-48.83% (Gap of 1,837,110 votes) Electoral Vote Obama-286 McCain-252 Highlights Lots of firsts for today's Projection: -First time Barack Obama has risen over 50% (a mandate) of the popular vote. Also, it is the first time John McCain has dipped below 49%. -By picking up Virginia, Barack Obama now leads John McCain by 34 Electoral Votes, his largest margin of our projections. -Barack Obama is on the verge of leading in popular vote by 2 million--earlier this week, it was a mere 600,000. What to Watch For As polling numbers start to come in after last night's First Presidential Debate (the ... Read Full Story