06/22/09: Tropical Storm Andres could become hurricane on Tuesday.

 
(GOES RGB Enhanced Satellite image; credit: NOAA)
 
TROPICAL STORM ANDRES INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022009
500 PM PDT MON JUN 22 2009
 
…ANDRES MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST…
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM PUNTO SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUNTO SAN
TELMO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANDRES.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 

 
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Track Forecast Cone; credit: NOAA NHC
 
AT 500 PM PDT…0000 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDRES WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 102.8 WEST OR ABOUT
115 MILES…185 KM…SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO AND
ABOUT 225 MILES…360 KM…SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
ANDRES IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH…9 KM/HR…AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS WITH
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…ANDRES
WILL PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN THE
WARNING AREA ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH…95 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
ANDRES COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES…110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB…29.38 INCHES.
 
ANDRES IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO…WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS…ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…ARE
POSSIBLE AS ANDRES MOVES CLOSE TO THE WARNING AREA.
 
…SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT INFORMATION…
LOCATION…16.4N 102.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…995 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AVILA
 

 
GOES AVN Satellite image; credit: NOAA
 

 
Wind Speed Probabilities; credit: NOAA NHC
 
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 - courtesy of NOAA National Hurricane Center
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