Best Picture
Will win: Black Panther
Should win: BlacKkKlansman

I've vacillated between Black Panther and Roma for awhile, but this is the most unpredictable Oscars race in a long time. BlacKkKlansman topped my best films of 2018 list and it hasn't gotten any worse. More than anything, I think Hollywood wants to flip the middle finger at Trump and this movie is the one to do it with. (Although Roma and Black Panther would each send a message as well.) I know comic book movies aren't respected, but Black Panther was the movie of 2018. I think it steals Best Picture in a monster upset thanks to the preferential voting system.