The Bad News of This Recession that No One Wants To Talk About

As the current recession drags on into its 15th and 16th months there are a lot of predictions about when it will bottom out and when the recovery will begin. Optimistic estimates have the recovery beginning in the later half of 2009. Pessimistic estimates put it well into 2010. What no one seems to be asking is what engine is actually going to pull the economy out of this recession?